All findings

KDM6A + STAG2

KDM6A and STAG2 co-occurrence in bladder cancer (MSK-IMPACT 50K)

Strengthened: held up under a stratified controlCo-occurrence · Evidence: pattern across patients, not yet tested within subtypes

DataMSK-IMPACT 50K (2026) · Bladder cancer · 1,917 tumours · both altered in 85 (49 expected if independent)

Engine's conclusion

Strengthened. Significant, with a real effect in a consistent direction, and it still holds when tumours are compared only within the same tumour type (and within the same molecular subtype, wherever this cancer's subtypes are known in the data). No artifact check failed.

A well-studied pair (311 papers): on the map it is known biology, a positive control rather than an overlooked discovery.

Not called novel: a PubTator3 search finds 12 papers naming both KDM6A and STAG2 in bladder cancer in the title or abstract. See the PubTator3 search.

Signal (x) is the corrected significance on the map's scale, discounted from 56% to 25% because the cohort-composition confound is not yet controlled. Efficacy (y) is credibility times actionability.

Structure & site3D structure: AlphaFold

These genes are altered together more often than chance would predict.

Primary site

Bladder

This finding's tumour type arises in the highlighted organ.

No structure profile is curated for this gene.

KDM6AGene

A human gene in this finding. Not in the curated driver set, so no structured profile is shown.

KDM6A mutations in bladder cancer →KDM6A co-mutations by tumour type →Other findings with KDM6A →

No structure profile is curated for this gene.

STAG2Gene

A human gene in this finding. Not in the curated driver set, so no structured profile is shown.

STAG2 mutations in bladder cancer →STAG2 co-mutations by tumour type →Other findings with STAG2 →

Anatomical figure from the EBI Expression Atlas anatomogram, and predicted structures from the AlphaFold Protein Structure Database (both CC-BY-4.0). A model shows the protein's healthy fold; a highlighted residue marks a recurrent cancer position, not a prediction of a specific mutation's effect.

Statistical evidence
Contingency table: the source of the q1,917 tumours

The raw 2×2 the FDR q and log₂ odds ratio above were computed from. It is the immutable evidence the score re-derives from: every number on this page traces back to these four counts.

Gene stateSTAG2 alteredSTAG2 wild-type
KDM6A altered85416
KDM6A wild-type1011,315

both 85 (expected 49 if independent) · KDM6A-only 416 · STAG2-only 101 · neither 1,315

Sources

Strong evidence. Exceeds the α=0.05 reject threshold (e≥20). Unlike a single-look p, this stays valid under the engine's continuous re-testing.

Why it sits here on the map

Molecular-subtype certification is unresolved. Recorded lineage only. Within-lineage molecular subtype remains unresolved. The association remains visible, but does not qualify as a subtype-controlled discovery.

The two axes are variables: signal (x) and efficacy (y = credibility × actionability). A point high on both lands in the frontier (top-right). A strong signal with low credibility sits low and to the right: statistically strong, not worth pursuing.

Same question in other cohorts
HypothesisModel-generated hypothesis (not evidence)
Written by gpt-6-luna

A language model wrote this from the evidence listed below. It is annotation: the engine's verdict above comes only from the measured statistics, never from this text.

The most likely explanation is residual bladder-cancer molecular-subtype or lineage composition: the KDM6A–STAG2 co-occurrence may be enriched in a subtype not resolved by the available lineage adjustment. Ranked alternatives are: (1) residual molecular-subtype composition, (2) cohort-specific artifact or winner's curse, (3) a shared upstream driver, (4) genuine within-tumour cooperation, and (5) deterministic co-amplification of neighbouring genes. This is a population-level hypothesis, not a claim that the alterations cooperate within individual tumours.

Argument strength (model self-report)15%
After adversarial review15%
The argument
  1. 1The population-level association is substantial enough to investigate: it survives multiple-testing correction, is burden-aware, has a positive lineage-stratified effect, and includes 85 double-altered tumours. These statistics establish neither a mechanism nor within-tumour interaction.E1E2E18
  2. 2Residual molecular-subtype composition is the leading explanation because lineage is recorded but molecular subtype remains unresolved. The corpus lead CONVERGES most directly with its prior KDM6A–STAG2 bladder interpretation and is directionally consistent with its subtype-composition interpretation of another bladder co-occurrence; the glioma and lung findings are contextual STAG2 precedents, not direct evidence for this pair.E2E14E15E16E17
  3. 3A cohort-specific artifact or winner's curse is the strongest competing explanation: the association has not recurred across independent patient sources. A shared upstream driver is possible but has no direct support here; deterministic co-amplification is also unsupported by the supplied evidence. The adjusted association does not rule out subtype confounding.E1E2E3
  4. 4The supplied paper abstracts do not establish a study of the specific KDM6A–STAG2 relationship: the bladder paper describes a broad comparative genomic cohort, while the other abstract concerns papillary renal cell carcinoma. The co-mention count is therefore not evidence of a mechanism; the lack of a supplied pair-specific study strengthens the claim that a within-tumour interpretation remains under-explored.E8E9E10
What would confirm or refute it

Test the leading explanation in an independent bladder-cancer cohort with molecular-subtype annotation: estimate the KDM6A–STAG2 association within subtypes and in a model adjusted for subtype, lineage, alteration burden, and assay coverage. Attenuation of the association after subtype adjustment would support residual subtype composition. To earn a within-tumour claim, use single-cell or clonal DNA sequencing to establish that both alterations occur in the same tumour clone, followed by a functional co-dependency test.

Strongest competing explanation (model)

Confidence is limited because replication is currently confined to one patient source and molecular-subtype composition is unresolved. The pattern could be cohort-specific or a winner's-curse artifact despite its corrected significance. No supplied Europe PMC abstract actually studies this gene pair, so a cooperation or redundancy mechanism cannot be responsibly specified; population co-occurrence alone does not establish one.

Adversarial review (second model pass)

Weakest link: No subtype-resolved analysis shows that KDM6A–STAG2 co-occurrence is concentrated in a particular subtype, and the signal lacks independent-cohort replication, so residual subtype composition is plausible but not established over cohort artifact or winner's curse.

Cross-cohort agreement (intra-snapshot)single source

Significant (after FDR correction) in one independent source of this tumour type so far. The engine records where a pattern is significant, not every source that could test it, so this calls for caution: a pattern selected from many tests tends to overstate its effect. It does not count against the pattern.

Evidence the argument cites

Model-written annotation, not a finding. The statistics it cites are real and are shown above; the argument connecting them is a hypothesis that needs wet-lab or clinical validation before it means anything.

Cite this finding
Permalink
https://cybergenic.im/findings/95fd8d66-6f4c-4be7-9268-4d8d7a93b11a
First seen
29 Sep 2026
Prediction registry
Locked 29 Sep 2026, row hash dcb8c249943387bbdd9ad949750ad9e4 (not testable out of sample). How the registry works
BibTeX
@misc{cybergenic_95fd8d66,
  author       = {{Cybergenic}},
  title        = {{KDM6A and STAG2 co-occurrence in bladder cancer (MSK-IMPACT 50K)}},
  year         = {2026},
  howpublished = {\url{https://cybergenic.im/findings/95fd8d66-6f4c-4be7-9268-4d8d7a93b11a}},
  note         = {Research engine finding, first seen 2026-09-29; prediction locked 2026-09-29, registry row hash dcb8c249943387bbdd9ad949750ad9e4},
  month        = sep
}

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